Just a quick guesstimate as it’s past my bedtime…
Saturday’s qualifying will be shaken up by tricky conditions. And I don’t just mean the lovely English Summer we’re having. The FIA’s new ruling on exhaust-blown diffusers will have an impact too. Mark Webber’s grasp of the Red Bull prior to this upgrade being fitted mid season in 2010 was greater than that of his team-mates, and so I reckon he’ll pip Sebastian to pole position for the second time this year.
As for the race, if conditions are bad, the Ferrari’s and McLaren’s will struggle to undercut the Red Bull’s through the pits. Given Ferrari’s form in Valencia, Alonso is definitely in with a shout of the line. However, I feel a home advantage will be of benefit to both Button and Hamilton this weekend. As much as I’d like to see the pair of them on the podium, I can’t see both Red Bulls being forced out of the top three.
1st – Mark Webber
2nd – Lewis Hamilton
3rd Sebastian Vettel